Polymarket Trader

ysok

0x254f2b95128466b03813f100ff3baa03cdbb7cc0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $85.19
Realized PnL: -$20.39
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Republican House incumbents not win in three or fewer nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 30.1%
Current value: $51.36
Potential payout: $170.92
Potential profit: $119.56
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $11.2

Yes position

Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $18.53
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $76.48
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $5.65
Potential payout: $40.82
Potential profit: $35.17
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$2.92

Yes position

Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $8.16
Potential payout: $20.65
Potential profit: $12.49
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $4.27

Yes position

Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $3.01
Potential profit: $1.52
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$5.04

Yes position

Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 28.8%
Multiplier: 3.47x
User PnL: -$5.45

Yes position

Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 40.7% 30 shares
Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 11% 20 shares
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11% 15 shares
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 19% 14.84 shares
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?

Yes 10.9% 9.18 shares
Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 4.1% 50 shares
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 50 shares
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 19% 5 shares
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 21% 25 shares
Will Republican House incumbents not win in three or fewer nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Yes 1.1% 30 shares