Polymarket Trader

0x2557...2adf

0x2557beeaee4fad202beea5fc5d202e325b412adf

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $93.91
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $7.29
Potential payout: $15.51
Potential profit: $8.22
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $7.46
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $7.92
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.54

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $11.58
Potential payout: $14.21
Potential profit: $2.63
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.92

No position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $9.41
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.94

No position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $5.83
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $5.17
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $6.33
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $8.35
Potential payout: $10.12
Potential profit: $1.77
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $8.01
Potential payout: $9.71
Potential profit: $1.7
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $3.06

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $5.6
Potential payout: $9.66
Potential profit: $4.06
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $4.31
Potential payout: $9.17
Potential profit: $4.86
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$0.46

No position

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $7.31
Potential payout: $8.97
Potential profit: $1.66
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.46
Potential payout: $8.86
Potential profit: $7.4
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $8.5
Potential profit: $6.76
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $7.2
Potential profit: $4.11
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $7.04
Potential profit: $4.05
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $5.37
Potential payout: $6.59
Potential profit: $1.22
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $6.57
Potential profit: $1.54
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $5.16
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $1.62
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

No 52% 9.17 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Yes 75% 6.59 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

No 68% 14.21 shares
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of July 6 2026?

Yes 56% 8.14 shares
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Yes 19% 6 shares
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Yes 22% 8.5 shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 44% 7.2 shares
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?

Yes 67% 7 shares
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

No 47% 3 shares
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?

Yes 35% 9 shares
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 21% 12 shares
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Yes 41% 11 shares