Yes position
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- User PnL
- -$361.67
Polymarket Trader
INTERPOL
@0xinterpol
0x255e42f3a373dda78e208a9ab5923123ef86f6dc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $989.1
- Realized PnL
- $2.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $369.99
- Potential profit
- $369.07
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$165.07
No position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $273.44
- Potential payout
- $279.31
- Potential profit
- $5.87
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $73.44
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$56
No position
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $146.46
- Potential payout
- $186.58
- Potential profit
- $40.11
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $28.79
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $102.94
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
Clavicular sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $16
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $84.01
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $85
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $89.35
- Potential payout
- $98.73
- Potential profit
- $9.38
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $9.75
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $8.02
- Potential payout
- $94.34
- Potential profit
- $86.32
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$41.98
Y
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $46.53
- Potential payout
- $53.48
- Potential profit
- $6.95
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $40.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $9.75
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $43.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6.75
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $14.75
No position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $37.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $12.75
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $46.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $45.22
- Potential payout
- $47.06
- Potential profit
- $1.84
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.22
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$29.2
Yes position
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$19.8
No position
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $20.95
- Potential payout
- $31.74
- Potential profit
- $10.79
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $6.45
No position
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $21.92
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.7%
- Current value
- $16.14
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.86
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $18.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.88
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.61
No position
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.25
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.48
Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $139.26
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.6
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.56
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.69
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $75.09
No position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.32
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.99
Yes position
Will "DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS - Bad Bunny" win Best Música Urbana Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.8
Yes position
Will Man's Best Friend (Sabrina Carpenter) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.26
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.03
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41
No position
Will Nicki Minaj attend Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.01
Yes position
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.46
Yes position
Will MUTT (Leon Thomas) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.46
Yes position
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.39
No position
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.86
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?Yes 5% 80 shares
- Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 74% 6 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 80% 7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 81% 61.73 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 53% 94.34 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No 85% 47.06 shares
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?No 71.6% 279.31 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 85% 117.65 shares
- Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026Yes 16% 163.01 shares
- Clavicular sentenced to prison?Yes 20.1% 171.84 shares
- Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026Yes 35% 5 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Yes 17.3% 399.96 shares