Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $8.3
- Potential payout
- $61.73
- Potential profit
- $53.43
- Multiplier
- 7.43x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Polymarket Trader
0x25682DDB7AB8dB68a988c29b69C05BA3192A8f52-1775722613537
0x25682ddb7ab8db68a988c29b69c05ba3192a8f52
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $144.18
- Realized PnL
- $11.59
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $12.11
- Potential payout
- $56.18
- Potential profit
- $44.07
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $2.11
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $23.98
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $11.02
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$2.92
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $3.79
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $26.52
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.21
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $22.62
- Potential payout
- $24.99
- Potential profit
- $2.37
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.62
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $13.78
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $10.61
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $3.78
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $22.07
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $2.32
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.84
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $19.89
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.16
Yes position
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.16
- Potential profit
- $19.16
- User PnL
- -$4.77
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $13.71
- Potential payout
- $14.08
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $10.31
- Potential payout
- $10.92
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.26
- Potential profit
- $9.26
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.14
- Potential profit
- $9.14
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.46
- Potential payout
- $6.03
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.42
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.53
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.63
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.69
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?Yes 24.9% 19.16 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 54.7% 9.14 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 37% 15 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 64% 5 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 64% 10 shares
- Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes 7% 16 shares
- Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes 17% 6 shares
- Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes 17% 10 shares
- Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 21% 11.76 shares
- Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 34% 11.76 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes 17% 29.41 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 2.9% 45.04 shares