No position
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- $262
Polymarket Trader
mky-2025
0x256ee70d4a3e131f01915d2a5976ecf77bf53e44
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.95K
- Realized PnL
- $760.96
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $83
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $967
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$879.99
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$340
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$270
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $32
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $968
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$183.4
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$280
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $980.5
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$70.5
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $999.97
- User PnL
- -$239.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
Will Tesla deliver 500000 or more vehicles in Q4 2025
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.96
Yes position
Will Tesla dip to $398 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No 24% 120.21 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No 23% 40 shares
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No 37% 394.98 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 9% 130 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 49% 718.32 shares
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No 90% 1,000 shares
- Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?No 86% 1,000 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes 27% 1,000 shares
- Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No 90% 600 shares
- Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?No 86% 787.2 shares
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No 90% 136.53 shares