No position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $126.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $123.75
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Polymarket Trader
trader-25736d94
0x25736d94018e4b8829a7c8b832c9c9c053513eeb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $126.25
- Realized PnL
- -$22.26
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$2
N
No position
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$3.89
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.4%
- Multiplier
- 2.16x
- User PnL
- -$7.2
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$8.99
Yes position
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$9.18
Under position
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 0.5
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$37.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No 61% 138 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 61% 200 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 73% 87.79 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 74% 112.21 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 37% 139.81 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 42% 25 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes 46.2% 200 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No 79% 15 shares
- Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes 99.9% 270.27 shares
- Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes 74% 270.27 shares
- Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 67% 200 shares
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes 65% 150 shares