No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $339.09
- Potential payout
- $8.48K
- Potential profit
- $8.14K
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$523.44
Polymarket Trader
kingmaker.
0x257adefc069b9f3dde696ab5c5a2f4ab0b473df6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $339.39
- Realized PnL
- $174.53
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $100.74
- Potential profit
- $100.44
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $174.74
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 3.6% 8,477.29 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 3% 5,798.6 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 14% 428.57 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 16.1% 1,239.72 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 10% 2,002.19 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 9.2% 10,855.43 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 8.2% 1,225.97 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 13.2% 2,278.01 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 9.7% 5,164.54 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 85% 793.65 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 63% 793.65 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 25% 20.76 shares