No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $24.29
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Polymarket Trader
msjnba
0x258915a61cb5ab227f2c5bdd32eb2bb5af90ad4b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.29
- Realized PnL
- $10.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Ahn Cheol-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 97.2% 25 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 89% 30 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 87% 10 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 87% 28 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 84% 32 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 84% 32 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 74% 10 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 88.6% 26 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 78% 30 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89% 29 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 88.9% 29 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 91% 28 shares