Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $26.57
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $8.41
Polymarket Trader
BlackSwanEdge244
0x2594371add18b3ec1918493e7b061ff9dcdabacd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.01K
- Realized PnL
- $1.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $18.65
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$3.62
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $18.15
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$4.52
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $15.95
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $3.28
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $7.15
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.52
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $29.15
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $4.68
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $23.18
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $6.7
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $7.65
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $797.2
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $300.04
- Potential profit
- $298.69
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Hawks position
Knicks vs. Hawks
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.38
- Potential profit
- $209.38
- User PnL
- -$98.41
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $193.2
- Potential profit
- $193.2
- User PnL
- -$98.53
Pistons position
Magic vs. Pistons
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.78
- Potential profit
- $125.78
- User PnL
- -$99.37
Trail Blazers position
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.72
- Potential profit
- $114.72
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Current value
- $11.36
- Potential payout
- $100.05
- Potential profit
- $88.69
- Multiplier
- 8.81x
- User PnL
- $9.69
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $18.46
- Potential payout
- $100.04
- Potential profit
- $81.59
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $16.79
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $13.66
- Potential payout
- $100.04
- Potential profit
- $86.39
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- $11.99
Yes position
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.04
- Potential profit
- $100.04
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $100.04
- Potential profit
- $99.79
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $100.04
- Potential profit
- $99.29
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100.04
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100.04
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $11.55
- Potential payout
- $100.04
- Potential profit
- $88.49
- Multiplier
- 8.66x
- User PnL
- $9.89
Yes position
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100.04
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $730.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.15
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.92
Suns position
Warriors vs. Suns
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.9
Rockets position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Suns
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.54
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.2
Nuggets position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.56
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
Knicks position
Hawks vs. Knicks
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
Cavaliers position
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
No position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Apple announce a new product line during the WWDC 2026 keynote?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.44
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 99.5% 800 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 99.1% 1,020 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?No 99.6% 500 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?No 90.7% 821.69 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?No 99.4% 300 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?No 99% 900 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?No 97.7% 540 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No 98.2% 533.92 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No 99.4% 250 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No 88.1% 809.39 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No 99.5% 1,600 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13?Yes 99.8% 1,600 shares