Polymarket Trader

cerco

@corce21

0x25a74e4d0795b842a4e8e934620781e3c5f48b7c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.65K
Realized PnL: $14.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $5.93K
Potential payout: $5.95K
Potential profit: $20.84
User PnL: $590.09

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $40.66
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $988.83
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$5.56

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $25.11
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $999.85
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $59.69
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $960.6
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $67.84
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $952.29
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$6.93

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $14.79
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$5.3

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $28.05
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $991.92
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $7.47

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $119.83
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $900.01
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $33.78

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $131
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $888.49
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $27.42

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $74.91
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $944.27
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$25.62

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $187.83
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $830.24
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $36.03

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $138.96
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $879.09
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$25.36

Yes position

Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $105.13
Potential payout: $216.76
Potential profit: $111.63
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$5.37

Yes position

Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $94.69
Potential payout: $140.28
Potential profit: $45.59
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$6.31

Yes position

Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $105.49
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $16.46
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $5.49

Yes position

Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $112.74
Potential payout: $117.44
Potential profit: $4.7
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $11.74

Yes position

Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $92.38
Potential payout: $114.04
Potential profit: $21.67
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$8.62

Yes position

Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $102.78
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $8.33
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $67.06
Potential payout: $100.84
Potential profit: $33.78
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$5.55

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $88.79
Potential payout: $100.33
Potential profit: $11.54
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $54.64
Potential payout: $72.37
Potential profit: $17.73
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-01-23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.27K

Yes position

Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-19?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $896.94

Yes position

Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-01-22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $743.1

No position

Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-01-21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $730.98

Yes position

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $653.6

Yes position

Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $514.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500

No position

Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $496.3

No position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $496.04

No position

Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $470.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $430.5

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.97

Yes position

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.89

Yes position

Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.78

Yes position

Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.89

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.93

Yes position

Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.22

Yes position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.33

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.89

Suns position

Suns vs. Knicks

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

No 76% 72.37 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 89% 100.33 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 97.7% 896.07 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

No 99.6% 998.23 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 53.9% 927.64 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 69.8% 716.33 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 69.8% 1,002.87 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 35.9% 109.29 shares
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 51% 211.76 shares
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 50% 5 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

No 99.1% 527.09 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 33.4% 15 shares