Polymarket Trader

GreatCrunchyCucumber

0x25aeeb223c9f3e1c81d392a9ec6d19b854084a6d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $853.41
Realized PnL: $151.69
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $397.8
Potential payout: $439.56
Potential profit: $41.76
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$2.2

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $150.56
Potential payout: $354.26
Potential profit: $203.7
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $33.56

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $99.31
Potential payout: $138.89
Potential profit: $39.58
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$0.69

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $99.42
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $16.86
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.58

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $106.32
Potential payout: $114.94
Potential profit: $8.62
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $6.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.58

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.1

No position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.45

No position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.58

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.25

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.9

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

No position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

No position

Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

No 87% 114.94 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

No 32.9% 304.27 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 86% 116.28 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

No 91% 219.78 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 72% 138.89 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

No 91% 109.89 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

No 91% 109.89 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Argentina 92% 108.7 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 86% 58.14 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 84% 59.52 shares
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

No 96% 104.17 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 86% 58.14 shares