No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $99.46
- Potential payout
- $108.7
- Potential profit
- $9.24
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Polymarket Trader
0x25B24f524CB083a1FeF880e658e035E8e8544eDB-1781975360229
0x25b24f524cb083a1fef880e658e035e8e8544edb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $350.75
- Realized PnL
- $47.18
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $26
- Potential payout
- $70.28
- Potential profit
- $44.27
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $61.68
- Potential payout
- $63.48
- Potential profit
- $1.81
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $5.06
- Potential payout
- $63.21
- Potential profit
- $58.15
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $58.13
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $4.06
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $58.44
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $3.85
- Potential payout
- $59.17
- Potential profit
- $55.32
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $3.64
- Potential payout
- $59.11
- Potential profit
- $55.47
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $4.31
- Potential payout
- $57.5
- Potential profit
- $53.19
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $8.04
- Potential payout
- $56.83
- Potential profit
- $48.8
- Multiplier
- 7.07x
- User PnL
- $3.04
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $9.6
- Potential payout
- $54.87
- Potential profit
- $45.27
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $4.08
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $46.92
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $11.2
- Potential payout
- $44.78
- Potential profit
- $33.59
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $39.02
- Potential payout
- $43.6
- Potential profit
- $4.58
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $2.98
- Potential payout
- $42.64
- Potential profit
- $39.65
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $6.69
- Potential payout
- $34.3
- Potential profit
- $27.61
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $5.52
- Potential payout
- $31.56
- Potential profit
- $26.04
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $21.53
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $8.62
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $16.38
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$6.38
No position
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $19.55
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $2.18
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $12.24
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $9.24
- Potential payout
- $12.16
- Potential profit
- $2.92
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Y
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $2.53
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $8.47
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $40.76
Yes position
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $1.75
Down position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Vox get a cabinet seat in the next Andalusian government?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$0
N
No position
Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
N
No position
Will Oklahoma win the 2026 College World Series?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 34% 11 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 24?Yes 15.8% 31.56 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 24?Yes 18.2% 54.87 shares
- Will Trump praise Weijia Jiang by June 30?No 85% 5.88 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on June 24?Yes 16.3% 31.83 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 24?Yes 8% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?Yes 8.8% 56.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?Yes 22.7% 22.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?Yes 22% 22.73 shares
- Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes 74% 10.55 shares
- Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?Yes 92% 7.93 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 59% 8.47 shares