Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $82.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Polymarket Trader
WRTW
0x25b5bedcf0d3ca6a4571d06a481e89fc16060484
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $82.5
- Realized PnL
- $38.33
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Takehiro Hira be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or below on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 83% 100 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes 45% 323.91 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?No 99.7% 275.47 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?No 99.8% 200.34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or below on April 14?No 99.8% 10.02 shares
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No 99.5% 10.05 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?No 99.8% 10.02 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No 99.6% 5.02 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 24.1% 200 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No 26% 198.41 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Yes 77.7% 2.99 shares
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 97.1% 20.44 shares