Polymarket Trader

sebasti.eth

0x25ba1be76b995c74b8ba023366e429d85bc21eab

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $45.08
Realized PnL: $1.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$11.25

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $608.85
Potential profit: $608.85
User PnL: -$37.73

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $552.99
Potential profit: $552.99
User PnL: -$2.01

No position

Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $517.26
Potential profit: $517.26
User PnL: -$6.95

Yes position

Will Sweden be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $338.33
Potential profit: $338.33
User PnL: -$8.12

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $334
Potential profit: $334
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $319
Potential profit: $319
User PnL: -$6.03

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

Will Belgium be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $247
Potential profit: $247
User PnL: -$4.05

Yes position

Will Croatia be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $237.3
Potential profit: $237.3
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will Belgium score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233
Potential profit: $233
User PnL: -$5.03

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Current value: $45.08
Potential payout: $199.05
Potential profit: $153.96
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: $19.2

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.22
Potential profit: $191.22
User PnL: -$4.03

Yes position

Will Brazil score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173
Potential profit: $173
User PnL: -$5.49

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.99
Potential profit: $168.99
User PnL: -$4.03

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167
Potential profit: $167
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167
Potential profit: $167
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Switzerland be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.3
Potential profit: $161.3
User PnL: -$1.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.49

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.75

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.32

No position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.94

No position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.64

Djokovic position

Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.91

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.37

No position

Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.78

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.88

Yes position

Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.48

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.96

Yes position

Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.83

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.01

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.1

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.96

Yes position

Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.1

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.08

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.08

Yes position

Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.1

Yes position

Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.97

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.3

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.04

No position

Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?

Yes 2.1% 48 shares
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?

Yes 2.1% 48 shares
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?

Yes 3.6% 28 shares
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Argentina 46.3% 5 shares
Will Spain finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 58% 5 shares
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

England 54% 5 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 58.2% 10 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 58.2% 10 shares
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H?

Yes 58% 5 shares
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?

Yes 33% 5 shares
Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?

No 28% 10 shares