Polymarket Trader

0x25C5f36B0b016ec83A14965fEA1bc5C3EC398581-1767479353082

0x25c5f36b0b016ec83a14965fea1bc5c3ec398581

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $232.79
Realized PnL: $1.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $38.36
Potential payout: $470.67
Potential profit: $432.31
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$8.64

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $14.83
Potential payout: $333.34
Potential profit: $318.5
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$5.17

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $19.27
Potential payout: $329.46
Potential profit: $310.19
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $27.21
Potential payout: $274.84
Potential profit: $247.63
Multiplier: 10.10x
User PnL: -$15.79

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $13.28
Potential payout: $250.63
Potential profit: $237.35
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.39
Potential payout: $227.28
Potential profit: $224.89
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$2.61

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $21.58
Potential payout: $156.96
Potential profit: $135.38
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$3.42

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $14.63
Potential payout: $148.55
Potential profit: $133.92
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $23.06
Potential payout: $122.34
Potential profit: $99.28
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: $3.06

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $36.39
Potential payout: $85.61
Potential profit: $49.23
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $4.39

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.2%
Current value: $10.94
Potential payout: $26.58
Potential profit: $15.64
Multiplier: 2.43x
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $8.83
Potential payout: $14.36
Potential profit: $5.53
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $3.28
Potential profit: $1.26
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $106.68

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.69

Suns position

Spread: Suns (-12.5)

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.7

Hornets position

Spread: Hornets (-2.5)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.91

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.11

Over position

Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.35

Raptors position

Spread: Raptors (-3.5)

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.61

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Over 44% 2.27 shares
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Over 55% 1.82 shares
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

Over 69% 7.25 shares
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5

Over 69% 7.25 shares
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5

Over 69% 2.9 shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 62% 4.84 shares
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 6.5 Total Corners

Over 99.9% 2.5 shares
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

Over 99.9% 2.89 shares
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5

Over 99.9% 40 shares
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5

Over 56% 3.57 shares
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Over 67% 1.49 shares
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Over 49% 6.12 shares