Polymarket Trader

almashdev

0x25cdbdffa37e94d948e3f037e02453427e2b7fc8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.95
Realized PnL: $3.08
Win rate: 61.5%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Iran strike UAE again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: $0

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $132.95
Potential profit: $132.49
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.89
Potential profit: $114.89
User PnL: -$6.23

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.25
Potential profit: $77.25
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $3.07
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $11.21
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $3.07

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.72
Potential profit: $10.72
User PnL: -$5.51

Yes position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.76
Potential profit: $8.76
User PnL: -$1.49

Yes position

NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $7.58
Potential profit: $7.53
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Kash Patel out by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.3
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.88
Potential profit: $4.88
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Rutte?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52
Potential profit: $1.52
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.25

Yes position

Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Trump say "Easter" or "Egg" during Monday news conference?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Jelena Ostapenko position

Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Alexandra Eala

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Trump say "Jesus Christ" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 2% 87.5 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Yes 0.5% 250 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.3% 30.3 shares
Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Yes 30% 6.67 shares
Kash Patel out by May 31?

Yes 14% 7.14 shares
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?

Yes 25% 4 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Yes 0.5% 200 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 2.2% 45.45 shares
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 1.9% 77.25 shares
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Yes 21% 14.29 shares
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Yes 35% 2.86 shares