Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.6K
- Potential profit
- $5.6K
- User PnL
- -$560.05
Polymarket Trader
Bishop138
0x25d232b7f2c3421f4fffcebce4d507f2ebd6000a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $166.55
- Realized PnL
- $11.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Erdoğan out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.19K
- Potential profit
- $4.19K
- User PnL
- -$598
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $166.55
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$133.45
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US forces in Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$56
Yes position
US forces in Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $588.24
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $523.41
- Potential profit
- $523.41
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $312.5
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.58
- Potential profit
- $144.58
- User PnL
- -$120
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.42
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes 11.7% 2,562.24 shares
- Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?Yes 85.2% 246.89 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 83% 121.95 shares
- Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?Yes 3.1% 1,630.24 shares
- Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?Yes 81% 246.89 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 82% 121.95 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 83% 144.58 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 1% 2,000 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 16% 312.5 shares
- US forces in Iran in 2025?Yes 17% 588.24 shares
- US forces in Iran before August?Yes 5.5% 1,024.17 shares
- Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes 38.2% 523.41 shares