Polymarket Trader

splitcoin

0x25d8afc40a06e655e458110ed5347d392e76644e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.18K
Realized PnL: $2.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $650
User PnL: -$149.5

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 29, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $544
Potential profit: $544
User PnL: -$391.68

No position

Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $529
Potential payout: $529
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $248.63

Yes position

Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 53.7%
Current value: $276.56
Potential payout: $515
Potential profit: $238.45
Multiplier: 1.86x
User PnL: -$105.06

No position

Will Christian Menefee win the Texas House special election runoff by 15% or more?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357
Potential profit: $357
User PnL: -$63.19

No position

Will "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$205

US Catanzaro 1929 position

Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$26.4

No position

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $118.69
Potential payout: $166
Potential profit: $47.31
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $12.45

No position

Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156
Potential profit: $156
User PnL: -$107.64

No position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $151
Potential payout: $151
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $27.03

No position

Will USD fall to 1.3M Iranian rials by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.09
Potential profit: $23.09
User PnL: -$4.78

No position

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $587.64

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $369.15

Yes position

Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-22?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $182.72

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.18

Yes position

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.6

Yes position

Will FC Zlín win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.8

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.94

Yes position

Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.75

No position

Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $83.36

Yes position

Will "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.18

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.53

No position

Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.16

No position

Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.7

Yes position

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21.6%
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $24.25

Yes position

US strikes Yemen by February 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.72

Yes position

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $19.72

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.8

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.62

No position

Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.67

Yes position

Will BIG qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.16

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $11.7

No position

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.83

No position

Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 66% 30 shares
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 66% 32 shares
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 66% 32 shares
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 68% 94 shares
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

No 64% 101 shares
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

No 64% 267 shares
Will USD fall to 1.3M Iranian rials by April 30?

No 90% 469 shares
Will USD fall to 1.3M Iranian rials by April 30?

No 89% 569 shares
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026

No 36% 267 shares
Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?

No 7% 118 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

No 44% 249 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

No 42% 423 shares