Polymarket Trader

ElCapitan619

0x25e13526752149db5fb69562db85186cb8586735

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.18K
Realized PnL: $1.14K
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $75.54K
Potential profit: $74.45K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$1.31K

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $3.94K
Potential payout: $37.5K
Potential profit: $33.56K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.93K

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $33.19
Potential payout: $2.66K
Potential profit: $2.62K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $115.09
Potential payout: $813.96
Potential profit: $698.86
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: $45.09

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Japan?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.15
Potential profit: $107.15
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.93
Potential profit: $87.93
User PnL: -$4.66

Yes position

Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $36
User PnL: -$4.32

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.04
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $32.68
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $773.15

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $63.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.31

Yes position

US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 769.23 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.7% 208.33 shares
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?

Yes 1.7% 2,339.21 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 1,250 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 10% 1,500 shares
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Japan?

Yes 2.8% 107.14 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12% 208.33 shares
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?

Yes 2.3% 2,200.29 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

No 14% 35.71 shares
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Japan?

Yes 0.7% 408.46 shares
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Yes 12% 36 shares
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Japan?

Yes 4.9% 408.47 shares