Polymarket Trader

driftwillow

0x25e5e087c9218934fcccdbc831f9d61d19946563

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $366.43
Realized PnL: -$82.77
Win rate: 36.4%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $996.85
Potential profit: $996.85
User PnL: -$134.67

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $346
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $54
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will "11.22.63" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$14.7

Yes position

Will "Suitcase Killer: The Melanie McGuire Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026)

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93
Potential profit: $93
User PnL: -$52.23

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.1%
Current value: $20.43
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $9.57
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$2.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.45

Yes position

Will "11.22.63" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.07

No position

Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.79

No position

Will "Man on Fire" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.23

No position

Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.9

Yes position

Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

No position

Will "The Grinch" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

Yes position

Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.89

No position

Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hidebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.09

No position

Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.62

No position

Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.9

Yes position

Will "Christmas Gameday: Lions vs. Vikings" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will "The Grinch" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.6

Yes position

Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25.4

Yes position

Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$55.85

Yes position

Will "Dave Chappelle: The Unstoppable" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$61.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Yes 77.5% 30 shares
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Yes 89% 215.36 shares
Will "Suitcase Killer: The Melanie McGuire Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026)

Yes 61% 78 shares
Will "Suitcase Killer: The Melanie McGuire Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026)

Yes 31% 15 shares
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)

Yes 14.3% 49.2 shares
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)

Yes 14.2% 60.12 shares
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)

Yes 14.3% 132.53 shares
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)

Yes 14.2% 25 shares
Will "11.22.63" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)

No 14.7% 9.5 shares
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)

Yes 9% 22 shares
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)

Yes 15.1% 100 shares
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)

Yes 14.7% 100 shares