ToTheMoon0915

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.57
Potential profit: $216.57
User PnL: -$31.92

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $171.69
Potential payout: $172.9
Potential profit: $1.21
User PnL: $24.32

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $119.25
Potential payout: $127.88
Potential profit: $8.63
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$2.99

No position

Will White House post 200+ posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $90.75
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $19.25
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $2.45

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.16
Potential profit: $103.16
User PnL: -$15.73

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.28
Potential profit: $100.28
User PnL: -$3.61

Yes position

Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $8
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.25
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$11.25

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $95.09
Potential payout: $96.59
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $26.58

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.42
Potential profit: $71.42
User PnL: -$33.28

Yes position

Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $2.72
Potential payout: $66.29
Potential profit: $63.57
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$17.38

No position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $7.59
Potential payout: $66.04
Potential profit: $58.44
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$11.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.12
Potential profit: $65.12
User PnL: -$30.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.05
Potential profit: $63.05
User PnL: -$18.3

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.88
Potential profit: $61.88
User PnL: -$19.8

Yes position

Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $52.53
Potential profit: $47.28
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $15.12
Potential payout: $52.14
Potential profit: $37.02
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $2.09

Yes position

Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.5
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $41.25
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5.5

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $41.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $8.75
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.58K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $976.06

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $895.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $884.36

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $871.61

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $763.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $731.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $717.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $717.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $652.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $652.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $641.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $629.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $623.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $598.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $591.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $577.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $575.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $559.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $548.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $526.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET