Polymarket Trader

vaporfer

0x26017f8549515bad197c073798b145fa593b61a9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.4K
Realized PnL: $8.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $342
Potential payout: $76K
Potential profit: $75.66K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$245.94

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $37K
Potential profit: $35.61K
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: $795.5

Yes position

Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $64.66
Potential payout: $18.48K
Potential profit: $18.41K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$201.69

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $1.74K
Potential payout: $15.5K
Potential profit: $13.76K
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: -$552.73

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.9K
Potential profit: $6.9K
User PnL: -$689.18

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $6.8K
Potential profit: $5.48K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $529.6

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $363
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.64K
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$273

Yes position

Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $14.06
Potential payout: $5.62K
Potential profit: $5.61K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$12.65

Yes position

Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $8.96
Potential payout: $3.59K
Potential profit: $3.58K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$11.02

Yes position

Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.8K
User PnL: -$224

Yes position

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $2.17K
User PnL: -$126.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.72K
User PnL: -$1.71K

Yes position

Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$117.16

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $55.1
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$206.03

Yes position

Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $746.05
Potential profit: $746.05
User PnL: -$10.77

Yes position

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $709.68
Potential profit: $709.68
User PnL: -$34.77

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$46

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $466
Potential profit: $466
User PnL: -$27.96

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$21.4

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $61.76
Potential payout: $385.99
Potential profit: $324.23
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$195.49

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $43.89
Potential payout: $381.62
Potential profit: $337.73
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$74.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.27K

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $873.13

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $835.81

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $434.23

Under position

Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.4

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.88

No position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.6

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.86

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.56

No position

Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.01

Up position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108

No position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.09

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: November

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.89

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.27

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.01

Yes position

Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.55

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.74

Over position

Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Sam Burns win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Yes 7.3% 45 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.6% 4,200 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.4% 3,800 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.4% 1,800 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.4% 1,600 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.4% 1,800 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 1,000 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 1,000 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.5% 2,000 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 4,000 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.5% 1,500 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 4?

Yes 97% 50 shares