Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $36.54
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $348.08
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$13.46
Polymarket Trader
Thomasbagh
0x2607a1a07eb6d86dbe88a0da3fe5b0c9886f0c43
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $120.45
- Realized PnL
- $64.98
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $40.49
- Potential payout
- $86.15
- Potential profit
- $45.66
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$15.51
No position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $27.07
- Potential payout
- $82.02
- Potential profit
- $54.96
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$7.63
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $16.35
- Potential payout
- $31.75
- Potential profit
- $15.4
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.32
- Potential profit
- $29.32
- User PnL
- -$13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.05
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No 42.3% 82.02 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 63% 31.75 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 13% 384.62 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.8% 105.26 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No 44.3% 29.32 shares
- Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?Yes 77% 17.85 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 65% 86.15 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No 99.4% 56.33 shares
- Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?Yes 55% 17.85 shares
- Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?No 25% 160 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No 71% 56.34 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 57% 105.26 shares