Polymarket Trader

idt

0x260cfa64ab4a985f2dd82b0a06a10ea72fb57f00

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $192.16
Realized PnL: $66.54
Win rate: 92.3%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $977.5
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.4%
Current value: $169.66
Potential payout: $267.43
Potential profit: $97.77
Multiplier: 1.58x
User PnL: -$16.46

Yes position

Will "Data Center" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.78
Potential profit: $39.78
User PnL: -$29.34

Yes position

Will "AI" be said 35+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.25
Potential profit: $16.25
User PnL: -$13.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Data Center" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.69

Yes position

Will "AI" be said 35+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.08

Yes position

Will "AI" be said 45+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $6

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

Will "Software" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05

Yes position

Will "Anthropic" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79

Yes position

Will "Anthropic" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will NVIDIA say "Agent" or "Agentic" 10+ times during their next earnings call?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

OpenAI position

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will NVIDIA say "Token" 20+ times during their next earnings call?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "AI" be said 35+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Yes 84% 6.25 shares
Will "AI" be said 35+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Yes 82% 5 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Yes 94.7% 23.18 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Yes 94.8% 12 shares
Will "AI" be said 35+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Yes 83% 5 shares
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

OpenAI 38% 10 shares
Will "Anthropic" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Yes 64% 1.56 shares
Will "Data Center" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Yes 74% 30 shares
Will "Data Center" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Yes 73% 9.78 shares
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?

Yes 24.6% 15 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Yes 73% 13.99 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.9% 2,000 shares