Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $18.11
- Potential payout
- $320.58
- Potential profit
- $302.46
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$6.89
Polymarket Trader
0x262ecAB99EcC72Bc879b78b5eA013145C97Fd4A3-1774701269820
0x262ecab99ecc72bc879b78b5ea013145c97fd4a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $103.99
- Realized PnL
- $57.09
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $59.1
- Potential payout
- $93.06
- Potential profit
- $33.97
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $4.1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.04
- Potential profit
- $27.04
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.92
- Potential profit
- $23.92
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $2.78
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $15.74
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.22
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.18
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $2.58
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $14.08
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$2.42
Yes position
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.2%
- Current value
- $7.73
- Potential payout
- $16.05
- Potential profit
- $8.32
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.27
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.93
- Potential profit
- $14.93
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $13.69
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.69
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $13.89
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $8.77
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.51
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 66.04 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 36% 13.89 shares
- Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 62.3% 16.05 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 30% 16.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 27% 18.52 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No 57% 8.77 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 74% 27.03 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 94% 67.56 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 72% 13.89 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 11% 18.18 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes 48% 10.42 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes 65% 7.69 shares