Polymarket Trader

QuantDuck

0x2637aa568f566ed850650bb757d072c3055926e1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.08K
Realized PnL: $18.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $3.03K
Potential payout: $5.18K
Potential profit: $2.15K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $121.59

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $805.61
Potential payout: $4.41K
Potential profit: $3.61K
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: -$437.14

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $172.24
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.12K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$176.08

Yes position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $310.77
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $97.63

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $273
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$65

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $0.77
User PnL: $288.61

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $112.63
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$172.74

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $931.72
Potential payout: $996.49
Potential profit: $64.77
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $254.1

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $98.61
Potential payout: $788.87
Potential profit: $690.26
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$117.27

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $206.93
Potential payout: $701.45
Potential profit: $494.52
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$51.24

No position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $566.99
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $33
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $241

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $38.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $461.25
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$10.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Lucknow Super Giants position

Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $954.68

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $945.12

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $883.48

Gujarat Titans position

Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $808.98

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $770.44

Chennai Super Kings position

Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $719

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $578.18

Kolkata Knight Riders position

Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $514.74

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $488.89

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $486.22

Sunrisers Hyderabad position

Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $467.99

No position

Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $458.38

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $439.34

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $406.58

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375.88

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $356

No position

Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.25

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 62% 1,000 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 66% 543.57 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 26.8% 745.92 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 20.9% 405.22 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 25% 1,602.44 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 22.9% 253.55 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Yes 10.5% 1,907.5 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Yes 8% 164.3 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 60% 1,000 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 56% 15 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 36.7% 100 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 81.9% 244.07 shares