Yes position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $2.28K
- Potential payout
- $7.47K
- Potential profit
- $5.19K
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$457.21
Polymarket Trader
F.HD
0x2638e06e0b713249703e62d57f13cc3d0a472ca8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.01K
- Realized PnL
- -$21.03K
- Win rate
- 30.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $734.3
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $811.59
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$239.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.18K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $583.78
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $92.45
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$35.79
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45.67
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$201.42
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$230.42
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$795.72
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.24K
Yes position
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.72K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.19K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 64% 7,523.38 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 56% 1,430 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 57% 1,810.53 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 56% 7,142.86 shares
- Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 4.5% 3,155.8 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes 72% 1,386.31 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes 11.9% 4,976.82 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes 10% 4,976.83 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes 69.2% 722.47 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes 80.4% 663.84 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No 6.1% 28,571.42 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.2% 36,151.63 shares