Polymarket Trader

mancity

0x263c09492a44403fbbdf0a7b9df06c440de204cd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $103.11
Realized PnL: $2.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $151.52
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.19
Potential profit: $75.19
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.77
Potential profit: $74.77
User PnL: -$13.64

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $62.69
Potential payout: $72.47
Potential profit: $9.78
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $12.68

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $400-$405 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.79
Potential profit: $36.79
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 70.9%
Current value: $24.1
Potential payout: $34.01
Potential profit: $9.91
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $19.1

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.46
Potential profit: $21.46
User PnL: -$5

Bucks position

Bucks vs. Jazz

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $14.93
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.4%
Current value: $10.15
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $0.96
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5
Potential profit: $10.5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $8.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $6.17
Potential payout: $7.58
Potential profit: $1.4
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-25?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.13

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14?

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.81

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.99

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.64

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-18?

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.1

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.35

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.08

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-25?

Ends Jan 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.43

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15?

Ends Feb 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.73

Yes position

Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.26

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.97

Yes position

Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.26

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.85

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.62

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.23

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.06

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.86

Yes position

Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-15?

Ends Dec 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.29

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-19?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.85

Grizzlies position

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.17

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-16?

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.7

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-27?

Ends Sep 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.67

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.7% 34.01 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 11% 11.62 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Yes 68% 14.71 shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

No 98.6% 10.98 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 77% 6.49 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 76% 13.16 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 45% 22.22 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 88% 22.73 shares
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

Yes 52% 37.35 shares
Will Trump visit China by April 30?

No 98.3% 66.42 shares
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Yes 75% 152.51 shares
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Yes 85% 2.35 shares