Polymarket Trader

0x263f937eD8fFfD5953940dc926700b673ED9f8C7-1770301419734

0x263f937ed8fffd5953940dc926700b673ed9f8c7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $263.88
Realized PnL: $902.93
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $853.68
Potential profit: $853.68
User PnL: -$811

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $465.75
Potential profit: $465.75
User PnL: -$424

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $263.88
Potential payout: $277.48
Potential profit: $13.6
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.13

Yes position

Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.64

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.31

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.81

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.27

No position

Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.47

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.84

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.72

Yes position

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.37

Yes position

Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.05

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.46

Yes position

Will People's Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.78

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.1

No position

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.92

Yes position

Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.65

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.92

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.84

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.16

Yes position

Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.78

Yes position

Will Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.61

Yes position

Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

Yes position

Will "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Will Carson Schwesinger be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom attend Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Yes 93.7% 277.48 shares
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 89% 263.56 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 95% 853.68 shares
Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?

No 95.4% 810.47 shares
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes 98.2% 789.19 shares
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes 94.7% 789.19 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 93% 747.31 shares
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 95% 696.84 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

No 93.3% 663.27 shares
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 94.4% 618.37 shares
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 79.8% 741.62 shares
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 88% 741.63 shares