RGCapital

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$9.29

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $897.9
Potential profit: $897.9
User PnL: -$18.59

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $558.96
Potential profit: $558.96
User PnL: -$27.95

Yes position

Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $435.29
Potential profit: $435.29
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $7.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $392.2
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$2.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $338.31
Potential profit: $338.31
User PnL: -$22.96

Yes position

Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $265.29
Potential profit: $264.1
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$3.81

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $261.97
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$3.82

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $13.4
Potential payout: $206.2
Potential profit: $192.8
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$16.6

Yes position

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $192.31
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.22
Potential profit: $192.22
User PnL: -$14.96

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.5
Potential profit: $187.5
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $171.82
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.66
Potential profit: $166.66
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $18.55
Potential payout: $161.29
Potential profit: $142.74
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$31.45

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $13.42
Potential payout: $157.89
Potential profit: $144.47
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$16.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $262.91

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.21

FK Bodø/Glimt position

Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.56

FK Bodø/Glimt position

Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.58

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET