Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
Bakhtak
0x2644ca035804afa31da86037ec76b1dd6b882432
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $136.6
- Realized PnL
- $311.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $505.07
- Potential profit
- $505.07
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $361.61
- Potential profit
- $361.61
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $318.18
- Potential profit
- $318.18
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $276.56
- Potential profit
- $276.56
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $133.49
- Potential payout
- $147.5
- Potential profit
- $14.01
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $33.49
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.59
- Potential profit
- $139.59
- User PnL
- -$4
Linette position
Merida Open Akron: Magda Linette vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.87
- Potential profit
- $129.87
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.24
- Potential profit
- $124.24
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.84
- Potential profit
- $103.84
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102
- Potential profit
- $102
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.21
- Potential profit
- $86.21
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.71
- Potential profit
- $69.71
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 15-21, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.09
- Potential profit
- $60.09
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.62
- Potential profit
- $38.62
- User PnL
- -$19.69
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.11
- Potential payout
- $32.79
- Potential profit
- $29.67
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$16.89
Bondar position
ATX Open: Anna Bondar vs Kamilla Rakhimova
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.5
- Potential profit
- $32.5
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.79
- Potential profit
- $26.79
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.91
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.01
Vit Kopriva position
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Rei Sakamoto
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.7
Yes position
Khamenei public appearance by February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.56
No position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.97
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.7
Townsend position
ATX Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Taylor Townsend
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Draper position
Dubai Tennis Championships: Quentin Halys vs Jack Draper
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.37
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.14
Kasintseva position
Merida Open Akron: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Yulia Putintseva
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
Canada position
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.65
Yes position
Will Marijke Groenewoud (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98
No position
Will Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
Hon position
Merida Open Akron: Priscilla Hon vs Renata Zarazua
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Dimitar Kuzmanov position
Hersonissos: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Dimitar Kuzmanov
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
USA position
Winter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Stakusic position
Merida Open Akron: Marina Stakusic vs Dayana Yastremska
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Zakharova position
ATX Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Mary Stoiana
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran leadership change by March 31?No 78.9% 50.7 shares
- Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?No 39% 101.1 shares
- Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?No 74% 27.03 shares
- Hersonissos: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Dimitar KuzmanovDimitar Kuzmanov 80% 24.19 shares
- BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Diane ParryLulu Sun 65% 15.38 shares
- Hersonissos: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Dimitar KuzmanovDimitar Kuzmanov 62% 24.19 shares
- Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?No 54% 74.07 shares
- BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Rei SakamotoVit Kopriva 67% 59.7 shares
- BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Alexis GalarneauLuca Van Assche 23% 21.74 shares
- BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Mitchell Krueger vs Dalibor SvrcinaMitchell Krueger 26% 19.23 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes 73% 13.7 shares
- Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?Yes 56% 26.79 shares