Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.81
- Potential profit
- $52.81
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Polymarket Trader
0x2644...b207
0x2644d3340aa79ed50c90abdb3c8d48aca128b207
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $9.88
- Realized PnL
- $178.97
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.78
- Potential profit
- $44.78
- User PnL
- -$39.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$13.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.2
- Potential profit
- $38.2
- User PnL
- -$28.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$9.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.98
- Potential profit
- $29.98
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.95
- Potential profit
- $29.95
- User PnL
- -$22.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.82
- Potential profit
- $28.82
- User PnL
- -$23.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$15.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$14.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$7.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.78
- Potential profit
- $18.78
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$3.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$11.1
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $9.88
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.38
- Potential profit
- $7.38
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.26
- Potential profit
- $3.26
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.52
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.57
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 15?Yes 99% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?Yes 63% 25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETDown 2.8% 52.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETDown 44% 32.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETDown 76% 6.42 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 30?Yes 99.9% 28.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETUp 85% 25.95 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 26?Yes 99.9% 19.34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 26?Yes 97.8% 17.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?Yes 99.9% 24.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?Yes 81.3% 24.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?Yes 76.2% 29.95 shares