Polymarket Trader

smarturn1

0x264bf42e23a945a38a0c9251f8197cb3be2fcf7f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.05K
Realized PnL: $3.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $237.65
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $2.85K
Multiplier: 12.99x
User PnL: -$12.34

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $115.12
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $15.12

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $2.12K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $84.78
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.36K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$15.22

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$96.43

Yes position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $26.59
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$3.41

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $54
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$46

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $90.2
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $272.67
Potential payout: $991.52
Potential profit: $718.85
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $22.67

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.47
Potential payout: $988.24
Potential profit: $985.76
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$137.53

Yes position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $941.18
Potential profit: $938.83
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$47.65

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $57.69
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $711.54
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$42.31

Yes position

Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $761.41
Potential profit: $761.41
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $84.04
Potential payout: $730.79
Potential profit: $646.75
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$45.96

Yes position

Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $716.38
Potential profit: $705.28
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$8.9

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$50

South Africa position

Spread: South Africa (-1.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $40 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $4.38
Potential payout: $674.61
Potential profit: $670.22
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$45.62

Texans position

Spread: Patriots (-3.5)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $641.41
Potential profit: $641.41
User PnL: -$230

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $668.46

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.56

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $238.11

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $70 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.6

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166

Over position

Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 37.5

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

Bears position

Spread: Rams (-3.5)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Bills position

Spread: Bills (-1.5)

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.4

Brazil position

Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.7

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.7

Texans position

Spread: Texans (-3.5)

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.35

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.77

Over position

Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.77

Egypt position

Spread: Egypt (-1.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.17

Patriots position

Spread: Patriots (-3.5)

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.88

Ghana position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.87

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.19

Mexico position

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Over position

Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.53

Over position

Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 30.5

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 10% 500 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 29% 344.83 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 13% 230.77 shares
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)

Qatar 55% 90.91 shares
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)

Colombia 30% 127.64 shares
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5

Over 54% 92.59 shares
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Over 45% 111.11 shares
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)

Colombia 54.8% 127.65 shares
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)

Croatia 5% 135 shares
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 31% 300 shares
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)

Croatia 37% 135.14 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 3% 833 shares