No position
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $22.35
- Potential payout
- $26.77
- Potential profit
- $4.42
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.47
Polymarket Trader
Gayfish420
0x264f63dbda415da7f6590075b94a1c900d9087f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.19
- Realized PnL
- $6.53
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $21.83
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $10.88
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $2.64
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.49
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.77
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Pakistan strike on India before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Trump pardon Diddy by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
US congress stock trading ban in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: June
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Ends Nov 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.24
No position
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?No 78% 26.77 shares
- Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes 4.4% 22.73 shares
- Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes 74% 13.51 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 97.9% 32.97 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.2% 32.97 shares
- Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No 88% 1.14 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No 98.3% 31.6 shares
- Will Trump pardon Diddy by October 31?No 97.7% 10.59 shares
- Will Trump pardon Diddy by October 31?No 97.7% 10.24 shares
- Will Trump pardon Diddy by October 31?No 97.7% 10.24 shares
- US congress stock trading ban in 2025?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?No 66.8% 6.24 shares