Polymarket Trader

Gurupolimarket

@gurupolymarket

0x26519b477f1cd031919e18f33fd8d3fcb48c3471

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.43K
Realized PnL: $32.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $74.96K
Potential profit: $73.8K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $48.13

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $42.18K
Potential profit: $41.14K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $25.48

Yes position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $323.88
Potential payout: $34.09K
Potential profit: $33.77K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $25.26

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $271
Potential payout: $31.88K
Potential profit: $31.61K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$281.56

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $246.98
Potential payout: $14.11K
Potential profit: $13.87K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$83.78

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $663.29
Potential payout: $13.4K
Potential profit: $12.74K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $112.16

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $10.74K
Potential payout: $10.92K
Potential profit: $180.13
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $49.13

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $4.96K
Potential payout: $5.12K
Potential profit: $163.89
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $46.16

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.9%
Current value: $429.3
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 4.19x
User PnL: $167.1

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $219.1
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 6.39x
User PnL: $109.9

Yes position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $337.39
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $867.57
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$209.74

Yes position

Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $52.32
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$189.82

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $517.85
Potential payout: $543.38
Potential profit: $25.54
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $293.63
Potential payout: $295.7
Potential profit: $2.07
User PnL: $27.5

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $31.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $168.1
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $75.78
Potential payout: $147.14
Potential profit: $71.36
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $25.28

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $10.03
Potential payout: $143.28
Potential profit: $133.25
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$13.74

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $24.53
Potential payout: $73.23
Potential profit: $48.7
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.59

Down position

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $43.12
Potential payout: $65.88
Potential profit: $22.76
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$21.9

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $62.08
Potential profit: $60.34
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$22.65

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.93
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $33.38
Potential profit: $31.64
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: -$7.28

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $73 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.61
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $1.17
Potential profit: $0.92
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$0.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Celtics position

Knicks vs. Celtics

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.97K

Up position

Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88K

Down position

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $984.16

Over position

Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $767.35

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $412.41

Yes position

Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $370

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $345.93

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.08

No position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.12

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.11

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.44

Under position

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.62

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.91

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.59

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $249.5

Up position

Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235

de Ridder position

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridder

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.95

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $212.53

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.45

No position

Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.22

Down position

Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $185.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 18?

Down 84% 415.36 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 18?

Down 94% 5 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 18?

Down 94% 5 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 18?

Down 94% 102.82 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 18?

Down 94% 5 shares
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18?

Up 38.1% 84 shares
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 18?

Down 87% 8.91 shares
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18?

Down 66% 8.77 shares
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18?

Up 68% 116.8 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?

No 99.1% 936.97 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?

No 99.2% 227.34 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?

No 98% 1,277.82 shares