Yes position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.8K
- Potential payout
- $23.95K
- Potential profit
- $22.16K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.75K
Polymarket Trader
0x26572868AdCeE0E5136dC8d33756e9879d0D42E6-1771354638297
0x26572868adcee0e5136dc8d33756e9879d0d42e6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.61K
- Realized PnL
- $902.6
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $5.81K
- Potential payout
- $19.04K
- Potential profit
- $13.23K
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $511.08
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $9K
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.43K
- Potential profit
- $8.43K
- User PnL
- -$118
Yes position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.84
- Potential payout
- $945.01
- Potential profit
- $942.17
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$39.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $661.52
- Potential profit
- $661.52
- User PnL
- -$34.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.19
- Potential profit
- $312.19
- User PnL
- -$31.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $221.16
- Potential profit
- $221.16
- User PnL
- -$21.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.04
- Potential profit
- $192.04
- User PnL
- -$38.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $174.62
- Potential profit
- $174.62
- User PnL
- -$14.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.98
- Potential profit
- $126.98
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.73
- Potential profit
- $65.73
- User PnL
- -$27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.55
- Potential profit
- $63.55
- User PnL
- -$6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.21
- Potential profit
- $56.21
- User PnL
- -$9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.98
- Potential profit
- $44.98
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.64
- Potential profit
- $41.64
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.02
- Potential profit
- $37.02
- User PnL
- -$5.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.9
- Potential profit
- $30.9
- User PnL
- -$4.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.44
- Potential profit
- $28.44
- User PnL
- -$7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $250.12
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.3%
- Multiplier
- 3.20x
- User PnL
- $175.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.69
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $56.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.42
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETUp 3% 33.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETDown 93% 1.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETDown 58% 1.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown 47% 2.13 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 24% 478.79 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 24% 160.97 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 24% 410.59 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 23% 45 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 23% 132.01 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 24% 59.99 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 24% 224.28 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 23% 10 shares