Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $2.72
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $31.28
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Polymarket Trader
0x265f...825d
0x265f0643d8903f1cf177c363a085637b8939825d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $67.99
- Realized PnL
- -$2.45
- Win rate
- 21.4%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $23.25
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $6.75
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $6.89
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $20.12
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $21.16
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $1.84
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $9.66
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $7.02
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $1.98
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.32
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.38
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 97.8% 5 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 16% 17 shares
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 14% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 88.8% 7 shares
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?Yes 3.8% 40 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 84.1% 9 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 67% 30 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 33% 27 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 83% 5 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 17% 11 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 93.3% 7 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 62% 12 shares