Polymarket Trader

YourFriend1

0x265fb5e346a3b8d50f7c36b117682b50a5f5a448

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $422.9
Realized PnL: $117.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14K
Potential profit: $14K
User PnL: -$5.35K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$446.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.27K
Potential profit: $8.27K
User PnL: -$733.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.38K
Potential profit: $5.38K
User PnL: -$992.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.38K
Potential profit: $4.38K
User PnL: -$148.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.76K
Potential profit: $2.76K
User PnL: -$182.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $2.51K
User PnL: -$1.22K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $2.19K
User PnL: -$162.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$114.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$51.27

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$3.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$157.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526
Potential profit: $526
User PnL: -$131.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $365
Potential payout: $365
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.99
Potential profit: $300.99
User PnL: -$176.97

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $40.42
Potential payout: $221.5
Potential profit: $181.08
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: -$21.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.49
Potential profit: $186.49
User PnL: -$98.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$17

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $8.4
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.61
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.08
Potential payout: $9.08
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.39
Potential profit: $4.39
User PnL: -$0.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.34K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.49K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.02K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.47K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.37K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.99K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.48K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.89K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.87K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.59K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 0.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 594.42 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Yes 52.2% 276.59 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Yes 69.1% 437.16 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Yes 67.4% 492.7 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Yes 69.2% 401.17 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Yes 32.3% 182.97 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Yes 35% 52 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Yes 25% 850 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Yes 76% 900 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Yes 70% 1,750 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 755.79 shares