Polymarket Trader

0x2660...134a

0x26600f126f4ff10fa386189347564d631360134a

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $146.29
Realized PnL: $261.72
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $12.18
Potential payout: $128.18
Potential profit: $116
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$16.52

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $9.2
Potential payout: $25.56
Potential profit: $16.36
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $3.76
Potential payout: $15.68
Potential profit: $11.92
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$4.08

No position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $7.7
Potential payout: $14.25
Potential profit: $6.56
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $6.76
Potential payout: $13.79
Potential profit: $7.03
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$1.24

No position

Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $8.52
Potential payout: $13.21
Potential profit: $4.69
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $7.22
Potential payout: $13.12
Potential profit: $5.9
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$0.52

No position

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $5.46
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $7.54
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $6.63
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $6.37
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $10.32
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $8.19
Potential payout: $12.7
Potential profit: $4.51
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $6.63
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $5.88
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$1.38

No position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $10.64
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $1.12
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $8.89
Potential payout: $10.52
Potential profit: $1.63
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $8.04
Potential payout: $10.38
Potential profit: $2.34
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.65
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $5.36
Potential payout: $9.66
Potential profit: $4.3
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.53

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $5.6
Potential payout: $9.18
Potential profit: $3.58
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $5.51
Potential payout: $8.96
Potential profit: $3.45
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $7.87
Potential profit: $2.83
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $7.49
Potential payout: $7.62
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.54

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $7.1
Potential profit: $5.36
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$3.23

Yes position

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $5.25
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $4.86
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.26

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.15

Yes position

Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.38

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.23

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.96

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.89

Yes position

Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.88

Up position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

No position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.85

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.65

No position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.64

Down position

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.55

No position

Will Trump say "Hottest" during tech signing event on Wednesday?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.89

No position

Will Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

Down position

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

Yes position

Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

No position

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $715 Week of April 20 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $180 Week of April 13 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

No 63% 7.87 shares
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

No 63% 12.7 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

No 50% 9.18 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 70.2% 7.12 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 29.7% 11.31 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

No 65% 7.62 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?

Down 65% 7.51 shares
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.75 Week of July 6 2026?

No 25% 10.52 shares
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?

Yes 28% 6.61 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 36% 9 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

No 81% 6.07 shares
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

No 28% 6.75 shares