Yes position
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $42.23
- Potential payout
- $28.15K
- Potential profit
- $28.11K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$35.22
Polymarket Trader
ThommyShelby
@RodrigoPorsh
0x26667580331965b3117a18d722062f1a8b2a8db5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $854.85
- Realized PnL
- $173.46
- Win rate
- 29.2%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $86.99
- Potential payout
- $4.97K
- Potential profit
- $4.88K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $11.58
- Potential payout
- $4.63K
- Potential profit
- $4.62K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.95
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $39.58
- Potential payout
- $4.17K
- Potential profit
- $4.13K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$10.41
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $284.31
- Potential payout
- $3.62K
- Potential profit
- $3.34K
- Multiplier
- 12.74x
- User PnL
- -$15.68
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $64.52
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $9.52
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $115.7
- Potential payout
- $835.36
- Potential profit
- $719.66
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$19.3
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $26.49
- Potential payout
- $767.71
- Potential profit
- $741.23
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $96.47
- Potential payout
- $496.01
- Potential profit
- $399.53
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- $42.41
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $41.28
- Potential payout
- $391.29
- Potential profit
- $350.01
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$8.72
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $45.7
- Potential payout
- $299.69
- Potential profit
- $253.99
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- $9.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.42x
- User PnL
- $200.7
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.17
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.12
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.27
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$2.93
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$4.04
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.53
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.88
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$5.12
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.4
Yes position
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.67
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.5% 767.71 shares
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 28,151.66 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.2% 45.45 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.6% 158.73 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.8% 254.24 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.7% 109.49 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.9% 232.56 shares
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 4,632.5 shares
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.2% 4,166.67 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.3% 326.08 shares
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 13,970 shares
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.3% 10,000 shares