Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $6.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $33.6
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Polymarket Trader
fish741
0x266b2cc4787b32e54f4b41d82f83a4cb445cafaa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.27
- Realized PnL
- $31.47
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,201,000 and $1,216,000 on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $34
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$6
N
No position
Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.4
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Will another player win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $1.82
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $38.18
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$8.98
Yes position
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.7%
- Current value
- $5.08
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $34.92
- Multiplier
- 7.87x
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Y
Yes position
Will Gen.G Global Academy Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.25
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$2.91
Yes position
Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.67
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$3.07
Yes position
Will Zoran Tegeltija be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $1.64
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.36
- Multiplier
- 12.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.96
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.35
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Chris Kavanagh win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,185,000 and $1,201,000 on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fnatic merger/acquisition announced by September 1, 2026?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Yes 36% 40 shares
- Fnatic merger/acquisition announced by September 1, 2026?No 42% 3.01 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of July 6 2026?No 17% 20 shares
- Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?No 43% 20 shares
- Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?No 45% 40 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes 30% 40 shares
- Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 14.6% 30 shares
- Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?No 47.6% 40 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes 18% 40 shares
- Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes 28% 40 shares
- Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19.4B?Yes 15% 20 shares
- Will Chris Kavanagh win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?Yes 29% 20 shares