Polymarket Trader

negativePNL

0x267568e60bccc61e876fbb3607fba7c47ee12374

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.15K
Realized PnL: $9.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.96K
Potential profit: $3.96K
User PnL: -$572.49

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $120.91
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $908.09
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $33.44

Yes position

Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$98

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $95
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $905
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $805.55
Potential profit: $805.55
User PnL: -$180.81

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $31.5
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $568.5
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$46.5

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $545.95
Potential profit: $545.95
User PnL: -$187.02

Yes position

New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $238.93
Potential payout: $463.94
Potential profit: $225.01
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $2.23

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$240

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.24
Potential profit: $304.24
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $260
User PnL: -$98.8

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 81.2%
Current value: $186.39
Potential payout: $229.68
Potential profit: $43.29
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $122.86

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$43.4

Yes position

Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$38.65

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Current value: $178.8
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $21.2
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $92.81

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $112.98
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $87.02
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $2.98

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$108

Yes position

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will UK strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$24.8

Yes position

Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 8 awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$16

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $181
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $19
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $828.1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $698.2

No position

Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $589.4

Yes position

Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $557.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $551.4

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $406

Yes position

US military action against Iran by Monday?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375

Yes position

Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $370.9

Yes position

Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $365.5

Yes position

Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.42

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296

Yes position

Will Rick Hatchett die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.01

Yes position

Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275

Yes position

Will Trump say 'Mexico' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246

Yes position

Will Sam Altman attend presidential inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.03

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.6

Yes position

Will Kanye West release an album before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.38

Yes position

Will Trump say 'China' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.19

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.5

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Brazil (-3.5)

Brazil 50% 10 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 19% 100 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 18% 200 shares
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 2.5

Over 38% 100 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

No 43% 26.65 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 21% 50 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 21% 50 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 21% 308 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Michael Chandler 22% 50 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)

Kyle Daukaus 25% 100 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 11% 100 shares
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score

Yes 38% 70 shares