Polymarket Trader

Oberrudl

0x267fa506ad814aeb232fe1bc625ef2e1dd8dfa03

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.73
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

James Collier announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.7
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $190.63
Potential profit: $188.53
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $165.92
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

World Cup: Winless Team?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $6.06
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $112.99
Multiplier: 19.65x
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $115.85
Potential profit: $114
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will Marcel Sabitzer record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $114.2
Potential profit: $114.03
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

James Norton announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Granit Xhaka record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $84.89
Potential profit: $84.77
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $75.92
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Austria reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $73.53
Potential profit: $71.32
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$2.79

Yes position

Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $71.34
Potential profit: $71.24
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $57.97
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.58
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $23.57
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.51
Potential profit: $18.51
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.37
Potential profit: $17.37
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?

No 11% 9.09 shares
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026?

No 5.4% 18.51 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 1.3% 76.92 shares
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 4.1% 24.39 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 7.8% 25.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Down 9% 55.56 shares
James Collier announced as next James Bond?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?

Yes 0.5% 200 shares
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?

Yes 0.5% 190.63 shares