Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.86K
- User PnL
- -$200
Polymarket Trader
0x268B7e847FEe844841C69d3CDC2a31D16D9B4890-1773090689108
0x268b7e847fee844841c69d3cdc2a31d16d9b4890
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $568.49
- Realized PnL
- $4.95K
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.4%
- Current value
- $416.08
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- Multiplier
- 5.45x
- User PnL
- $221.08
Paraguay position
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.7%
- Current value
- $152.41
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 7.91x
- User PnL
- -$47.59
Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.58
- Potential profit
- $7.58
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.95K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.47
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.64
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.66
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.34
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.75
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.06
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.43
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.65
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.83
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.53
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.31
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.62
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.86
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.95
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.34
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$27.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?Yes 81% 6,358.3 shares
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?Yes 3.1% 6,358.31 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Yes 4.7% 1,063.83 shares
- Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceParaguay 10% 2,000 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?Yes 7% 2,857.14 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes 10% 221.8 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes 22.5% 221.81 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 99.8% 51.76 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 58% 51.76 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 34% 97.22 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 72% 97.22 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 20% 150 shares