No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $220
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.18
Polymarket Trader
0x269d78AaccC9aA70E5A29DF14cd04C8fF20E3E75-1773979660209
0x269d78aaccc9aa70e5a29df14cd04c8ff20e3e75
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $463
- Realized PnL
- $36.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $150
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$33.64
No position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $33
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $30
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $30
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.53
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.2% 150 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 97.8% 32 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 97.3% 35 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No 96.1% 35 shares
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.3% 33 shares
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99% 30 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.5% 30 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 97.8% 85 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 220 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?No 95.8% 193.05 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 97.4% 300 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 99.6% 461.61 shares