Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $2.55K
- Potential payout
- $5.86K
- Potential profit
- $3.31K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Polymarket Trader
allwithjohn
0x26a5915141b691cd81141be817a67193836006c0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.55K
- Realized PnL
- $7.18K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $756.46
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $431.48
No position
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Germany by Feburary 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.01
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.72
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.45
Yes position
Will Trump and Machado handshake last 2–6 seconds?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.18
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 29% 142.54 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 33% 56.58 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 5,000 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 1,000 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 77% 2,941.83 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 1,000 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 22% 1,100 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 56% 3,961.78 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 4,500 shares
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?No 98.4% 9,381.59 shares
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?No 97.5% 20 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 89% 284.05 shares