Polymarket Trader

0x26b581F001595D68532520146fb0FF5Ee4026a16-1750778419061

0x26b581f001595d68532520146fb0ff5ee4026a16

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.66K
Realized PnL: $694.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $502.56
Potential payout: $866.49
Potential profit: $363.92
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $179.58

Yes position

Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $320.96
Potential payout: $803.4
Potential profit: $482.44
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$124.05

Yes position

Will SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $649.25
Potential profit: $649.25
User PnL: -$37.45

No position

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $346.15
Potential payout: $467.77
Potential profit: $121.62
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $31.65

Yes position

Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $102.91
Potential payout: $467.77
Potential profit: $364.86
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$18.94

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $11.27
Potential payout: $208.69
Potential profit: $197.42
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: -$2.71

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$21.37

No position

World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $140.43
Potential payout: $165.21
Potential profit: $24.78
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.86

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$26.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.73
Potential profit: $98.73
User PnL: -$33.82

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $83.09
Potential payout: $89.49
Potential profit: $6.4
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $3.09

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.13
Potential profit: $68.13
User PnL: -$4.77

No position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.22
Potential profit: $61.22
User PnL: -$30

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.33
Potential profit: $54.33
User PnL: -$32.09

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $14.53
Potential payout: $52.83
Potential profit: $38.3
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$2.03

Yes position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $13.11
Potential payout: $42.3
Potential profit: $29.19
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$4.31

No position

Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $21.79
Potential payout: $37.9
Potential profit: $16.11
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $13.95

Yes position

Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $15.73
Potential payout: $37.9
Potential profit: $22.17
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$12.01

No position

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $26.13
Potential payout: $33.5
Potential profit: $7.37
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $10.09

No position

Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $22.24
Potential payout: $32.47
Potential profit: $10.23
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$16.2

Yes position

Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $21.32
Potential payout: $25.46
Potential profit: $4.14
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.96

No position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $16.79
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $8.46
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.68

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.99

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

No position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $33.49

Yes position

Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.05

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Musetti position

Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Coleman Wong

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.65

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: $23.81

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.86

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Multiplier: 5.29x
User PnL: $16.63

No position

Crude Oil all time high by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.04

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Messi position

World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $14

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $12.03

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.69

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.28

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.94

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.52

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Brazil to win the second half?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Yes 87.3% 7.94 shares
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Yes 87.3% 6.04 shares
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Yes 87.3% 10.3 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

Yes 54% 30 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?

Yes 36% 40 shares
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 37.4% 65.48 shares
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 52% 65.48 shares
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 37.4% 16.48 shares
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 52% 16.48 shares
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 39.7% 25 shares
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 50% 25 shares
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 51% 45 shares