No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $104.35
- Potential payout
- $202.62
- Potential profit
- $98.27
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $17.94
Polymarket Trader
LaCommande28
0x26bb798464eae4c24b2ddba0ea68d792e5a203cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $824.35
- Realized PnL
- $219.28
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $6.39
- Potential payout
- $185.3
- Potential profit
- $178.9
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$2.58
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $130.44
- Potential payout
- $185.03
- Potential profit
- $54.58
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $5.1
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $18.45
- Potential payout
- $175.72
- Potential profit
- $157.27
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $3.7
- Potential payout
- $164.29
- Potential profit
- $160.59
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $71.39
- Potential payout
- $84.99
- Potential profit
- $13.6
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $6.27
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $59.82
- Potential payout
- $60.39
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $51.11
- Potential payout
- $54.35
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $52.79
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.97
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $45.4
- Potential payout
- $51.89
- Potential profit
- $6.49
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.03
No position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $50.64
- Potential payout
- $51.12
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $33.96
- Potential payout
- $36.71
- Potential profit
- $2.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $8.24
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $27.69
- Potential payout
- $31.65
- Potential profit
- $3.96
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $31.17
- Potential payout
- $31.47
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $30.17
- Potential payout
- $30.38
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- User PnL
- $15.83
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $28.65
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.65
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $25.17
- Potential payout
- $25.8
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.72
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Verizon" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $24.68
- Potential payout
- $25.71
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $24.09
- Potential payout
- $24.54
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $23.35
- Potential profit
- $18.1
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $20.81
- Potential payout
- $21.42
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.6%
- Current value
- $18.57
- Potential payout
- $20.28
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.61
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.47
- Potential payout
- $18.29
- Potential profit
- $15.82
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $9.77
- Potential payout
- $18.09
- Potential profit
- $8.32
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.63
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.89
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.36
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.21
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.71
No position
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.76
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.19
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.87
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.38
Y
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $7.35
Yes position
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.7
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.7%
- Multiplier
- 9.39x
- User PnL
- $6.38
No position
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.31
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.09
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 98.9% 17.56 shares
- Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 98.9% 17.55 shares
- Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 98.9% 25.28 shares
- Will the announcers say "Verizon" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?No 96% 12.86 shares
- Will the announcers say "Verizon" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?No 96% 12.84 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 92% 54.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?No 81% 3.83 shares
- Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Iraq?No 98.8% 1.36 shares
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?No 97.8% 51.12 shares
- Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Iraq?No 97.5% 3.52 shares
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 1.5Over 87% 8.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?No 81% 1.3 shares