tmfcosta

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$21.18

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $48.6
Potential payout: $3.6K
Potential profit: $3.55K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$10.88

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $15.75
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.48K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$22.43

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $15.3
Potential payout: $3.4K
Potential profit: $3.38K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$5.09

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $29.45
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $3.07K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $226.82
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.57K
Multiplier: 12.35x
User PnL: $30.84

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $63.7
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.54K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$4.53

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $29
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$3.61

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$6.05

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $21.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $8.12
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.47K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$3.69

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $17.75
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $47
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $953
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will Portugal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $819.75
Potential profit: $794.75
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$3.23

Yes position

Will Belgium score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $3.84
Potential payout: $590.19
Potential profit: $586.36
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$12.2

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Israel come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.25
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $276.57
Potential profit: $276.57
User PnL: -$15.68

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $125.1
Potential profit: $122.16
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $12.3
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $107.7
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $20.29
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $89.71
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $10.54

Yes position

Will AEK Athens win Greek Basketball League?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.97
Potential profit: $108.97
User PnL: -$0.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $327.97

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.67

No position

Will Sporting CP advance to the round of 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76.73

Yes position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $63.54

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.27

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50.88

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.37

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.78

Yes position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 3rd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.06

No position

Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.85

Yes position

Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.52

No position

Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.05

No position

Will Ismaïla Sarr record the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.3

No position

Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.28

No position

Will Lando Norris finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.99

Yes position

Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win 3rd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.67

No position

Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the round of 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.53

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.61

Yes position

Will Chelsea advance to the round of 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.38

Yes position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.12

Yes position

Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.64

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?