Polymarket Trader

moroshka

0x26d6328b608765d31ac36f4d436cb64967e72b05

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $30.27
Realized PnL: $42.04
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $39.44
Potential profit: $30.94
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $2.43

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $22.6
Potential profit: $18.5
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $7.01
Potential payout: $11.79
Potential profit: $4.77
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $11.28
Potential profit: $8.94
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $4.38
Potential payout: $11.23
Potential profit: $6.86
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $3.04
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $4.46
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.34
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.36
Potential profit: $5.36
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $3.64
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.29
Potential profit: $2.29
User PnL: -$1.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.68

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.77

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

England position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

Portugal position

Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-08?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Down 51% 1.96 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 13?

Yes 32% 6.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?

Yes 40% 7.5 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

England 64.5% 6.2 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.7% 22.6 shares
Fredrik Aursnes: 1+ shots on target AND Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?

11% 8.64 shares
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Yes 52% 1.92 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 55% 1.74 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 60.2% 11.62 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?

Yes 45% 6.67 shares
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-08?

Yes 68% 2.94 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.7% 10.4 shares